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Showcase window 9: Escalation day

398 events in one day. The week before, the daily median was 237.

1 Sep 2026 is the largest of the three days since 28 Feb that the escalation measure flags across the whole war (z 7.8). The other two: 27 May and 8 Jul.

1 Sep is the largest of the war's three flagged days: 68% above the median day of the week before.

Window: 1 Sep 2026. Data as of 26 October 2026.

0100200300400median of the 7 days before: 237237median of the 7 days before1 Sep: 3983981 Sepevents per day
1 Sep 2026: 398 events against a median of 237 (robust z 7.8). Hover a bar for its value. Download the CSV. Using these figures.

What the coverage showed

Critical Threats (CTP-ISW) (1 September 2026) reported the US strikes on Iranian radars and the retaliation, without a count for the day. Source.

How this figure is made

Measure: the escalation measure: each day against the seven days before it, whole war. Figures come from the published record: 84,776 events, 28 Feb to 13 Oct 2026. Methodology.

Cite this page

Conflict Gauge: Iran (MergeSeat). "398 events in one day. The week before, the daily median was 237". https://conflictgauge.com/showcase/escalation-day-1-september. Data as of 26 October 2026. Page version v1, published 2026-10-28. Accessed <date>.
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