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Showcase 8

8 Jul: 370 events, 56% above a normal day the week before.

Window: 8 Jul 2026

The median day of the seven days before 8 Jul held 237 events (z 7.5). One of three days since 28 Feb that the escalation measure flags across the whole war.

8 Jul is one of three days since 28 Feb when the whole war's record jumped far past its own normal range.

What the coverage showed

Critical Threats (CTP-ISW) (8 July 2026) reported the US strikes of 7 Jul and the dispute over the memorandum, with no measure of the day's size.

The figure

8 Jul 2026: 370 events against a median of 237 (robust z 7.5).

The chart, the window and the CSV: https://conflictgauge.com/showcase/escalation-day-8-july

Cite this page

Conflict Gauge: Iran (MergeSeat). "8 Jul: 370 events, 56% above a normal day the week before.". https://conflictgauge.com/posts/escalation-day-8-july. Data as of 17 October 2026. Page version v1, published 2026-10-28. Accessed <date>.